{"id":3062,"date":"2026-09-30T16:42:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T16:42:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/30\/nike-stock-seen-sinking-further-after-q1-earnings-find-out-more\/"},"modified":"2026-09-30T16:42:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T16:42:24","slug":"nike-stock-seen-sinking-further-after-q1-earnings-find-out-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/30\/nike-stock-seen-sinking-further-after-q1-earnings-find-out-more\/","title":{"rendered":"Nike stock seen sinking further after Q1 earnings: find out more"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<p>Nike (NKE) shares have been a major disappointment for investors in 2026, but the options market believes the company\u2019s upcoming earnings on October 1 is unlikely to offer any significant relief.<\/p>\n<p>Consensus is for NKE to post $0.44 a share of earnings (EPS) on $11.34 billion in revenue, which would represent a year-over-year \u201cdecline\u201d across both metrics.<\/p>\n<p>Versus the start of this year, Nike stock is currently down an alarming 80%.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Where options data suggests Nike stock is headed<\/h2>\n<p>Despite NKE shares\u2019 massive 2026 underperformance, and CEO Elliott Hill\u2019s turnaround efforts, the derivatives market believes they will inch lower after the quarterly print.<\/p>\n<p>The put-to-call ratio on options contracts expiring October 9 sits at 1.16 as of writing, indicating a bearish skew (a reading above 1.00 is typically interpreted as bearish).<\/p>\n<p>And the lower price on those contracts \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/stocks\/quotes\/NKE\/expected-move\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">according to <em>Barchart\u2019s<\/em> data<\/a> \u2013 is set at $32.91 currently, signaling the footwear giant could lose another 7.74% through the end of next week.<\/p>\n<p>Crucially, the technical setup heading into the earnings even also reinforces the negative sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>Nike is currently trading firmly below its major moving averages (MAs), with an RSI in the mid-30s pointing to significant selling pressure that may drive its stock price lower in the final quarter of 2026. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why derivatives market is bearish on NKE shares<\/h2>\n<p>Options market is pricing in potential weakness in Nike shares because of \u201cpersistent\u201d fundamental headwinds that continue to squeeze Nike\u2019s bottom line.<\/p>\n<p>Revenue growth remains stifled by sluggish foot traffic in key international markets \u2013 particularly Greater China \u2013 alongside weakening global discretionary spending.<\/p>\n<p>Compounding these struggles is margin compression due to aggressive promotional discounting to clear out excess, stale inventory.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, higher freight expenses, supply chain friction, and stiff competition from agile rivals that are hurting adoption of new line-ups continue to eat into operating margins.<\/p>\n<p>With full-turnaround initiatives under CEO Elliott Hill still early in execution, option traders signal skepticism that the upcoming quarterly print can reverse these entrenched structural hurdles.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What would determine Nike\u2019s future trajectory<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond the headline revenue and earnings figures, the <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2026\/09\/25\/nike-stock-still-hasnt-bottomed-analyst-warns\/\">trajectory of Nike stock<\/a> hinges on forward-looking commentary regarding inventory normalization and direct-to-consumer momentum.<\/p>\n<p>Clear evidence that promotional strategies are successfully streamlining stock levels without permanently eroding gross margins will be essential to restoring investor confidence.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Wall Street will scrutinize management\u2019s updates on wholesale channel partnerships and product innovation cycles aimed at reclaiming market share.<\/p>\n<p>While near-term derivative positioning reflects caution, any tangible progress on supply chain efficiency or signs of stabilizing wholesale demand could provide the foundation needed for the stock to base and potentially initiate a long-term recovery.<\/p>\n<p>Heading into Q1 earnings, Wall Street rates NKE stock at Hold with a mean price target of about $44.57.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2026\/09\/30\/nike-stock-seen-sinking-further-after-q1-earnings-find-out-more\/\">Nike stock seen sinking further after Q1 earnings: find out more<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\">Invezz<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nike (NKE) shares have been a major disappointment for investors in 2026, but the options market believes the company\u2019s upcoming earnings on October 1 is unlikely to offer any significant relief.Consensus is for NKE to post $0.44 a share of earnings (EPS) on $11.34 billion in revenue, which would represent a year-over-year \u201cdecline\u201d across both&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3063,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3062","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3062"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3062\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3063"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/retrotradingreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}